Who do you think is going to win the Election?

To be clear, I am not asking who you want to win the election, but who do you think will win, or do you think it is too close to call? Who is the favorite, who is the underdog... Again not who you want, but who do you think is more likely to win. For instance. In 2004 I voted for Kerry. I wanted him to win with all my heart and soul, but if I am honest, I knew that it was a tall task, and that Bush was likely to be the winner...